Gas revolution. Poland is diversifying LPG like never before

Zbiorniki gazu. Terminal LNG Świnoujście

LPG imports to Poland have never been so diverse. The shares of Sweden, Norway and the USA are growing, while Russia’s share is clearly decreasing.

The Polish liquid gas market is undergoing a historic change. Today, LPG supplies are distributed among more directions than ever before, which in practice means less dependence on a single supplier and greater resilience of the supply chain. Data for January and February 2025 show record diversification: approximately 33%. imports came from Sweden, 17 percent from Russia, 14 percent from Norway, and 13 percent from the United States. Gas also comes to Poland from the Netherlands, Great Britain, Germany, Kazakhstan and Equatorial Guinea. This distribution of supply sources is unprecedented.

Regulatory change

There is also a regulatory change on the horizon that will accelerate market transformations. In the 19th sanctions package, the European Union included a total ban on the import of Russian LPG, including: isobutane and n-butane. The regulations will enter into force on January 26, 2026. This means that the time to prepare for a complete cut off in this direction is limited, but – as indicated by market signals – it has been used.

As emphasized by the director general of the Polish Liquefied Gas Organization, Bartosz Kwiatkowski, domestic companies responded appropriately already in 2024, redirecting contracts and logistics to alternative routes. Effect? Despite the change in the supply map, there were no gas shortages. This is a practical confirmation that the diversification of sources works and allows you to maintain continuity of supply, even when one of the directions is gradually phased out.

A retreat from the Russian market

The numbers also show the financial dimension of the retreat from the Russian market. This year, Polish importers paid approximately PLN 450 million to Russian suppliers, while in the entire last year this amount amounted to PLN 2.3 billion. The difference shows how quickly the importance of this direction in the purchasing structure is decreasing. At the same time, the share of supplies from the Scandinavian regions and North America, and additionally from European and non-European countries, is growing.

From the point of view of market stability, it is crucial that the new import system includes several independent routes and ports, which reduces the risk of downtime and bottlenecks. Diversification not only fits into the EU sanctions framework, but above all strengthens the energy security of end users – from gas stations, through industry, to households. With the approaching date of entry into force of the ban on imports of Russian LPG, the dispersion of sources will be even more important, and Poland is already showing that it can maintain high availability of the raw material without supply disruptions.

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